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內地疫情及經濟穩定的發展方向

2022年04月14日

內地疫情近期急速擴大,當局考慮適時運用貨幣政策,更大力支持經濟發展,預期內地貨幣政策進一步寬鬆。

內地疫情擴大 惟貨幣政策有適度寬鬆空間

內地上季新冠肺炎疫情擴大。上月,內地新增確診者數目不斷上升,到本月初,單日新增本土無症狀感染者已超兩萬例。部份城市例如深圳及上海等實施封城封區措施,包括公共交通停止運作、部份工廠停產、多項商業活動停止等,影響經濟活動之餘,投資者亦需關注疫情會否持續擴大。

中國通脹不算太強 惟經濟增長放緩

中國上月經濟增長放緩。內地製造業活動減弱,陷入收縮區間。國統局公布,3月製造業PMI為49.5,按月跌0.7,低於市場預期,主要由於近期國內多地出現聚集性疫情,加上國際地緣政治不穩因素顯著增加,令企業生產經營活動受影響。另外,非製造業PMI為48.4,按月跌3.2,也低於市場預期。

不過,今年內地預期通脹不算太強,貨幣政策有適度寬鬆空間,人行可以繼續降低存款準備金率或採取其他貨幣政策,以促進信貸增長及加強流動性,利好企業營運。上月內地舉行人大會議和政協會議(兩會)。兩會之中,強調今年將會加大力度實施減稅降費,預計今年將退稅減稅約2.5萬億元人民幣,規模為歷史最大,政策力度加大將有助於穩定市場預期,並緩解企業當下困難。

內地面對疫情擴大風險,封城封區措施亦某程度影響經濟及生產活動,惟內地財政政策及貨幣政策空間充足,股市本季料將平穩發展。



內地高收益債吸引力未見下滑

亞洲的疫情較環球其他地方輕微,今年增長率料將明顯較高,大多企業的現金流不成問題,亞洲高收益債具吸引力。內地高收益債方面,內地經濟雖然因疫情擴大而受影響,惟政策能為經濟提供有力支持,加上部份較憂慮較多的投資者或「棄股從債」,內地高收益債吸引力未見下滑。

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由即日起,親臨致富理財中心或於網上開戶並輸入推廣碼 US099,只需符合相關條件,可享HK$300 Donki禮券!推薦親朋好友開戶,可以獲取高達HK$6,000禮券*![了解更多]

投資基金「零」負擔

透過「致富通」應用程式或致富網頁,投資基金「零」負擔,單次認購或月供計劃一律免佣,基金購金額更低至5,000港元或700美元,另購買精選保險享有高達50%折扣優惠。

致富有提供債券、基金一站式投資策略,比供客戶選擇。想知道和了解更多,請即刻聯絡我哋們投資策略專員解答疑難!

WhatsApp : [投資策略專員]

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上述報告由致富證券有限公司(「本公司」)所提供,所載之內容或意見乃根據本公司認為可靠之資料來源來編製,惟本公司並不就此等內容之準確性、完整性及正確性作出明示或默示之保證。上述報告內之所有意見均可在不作另行通知之下作出更改。上述報告的作用純粹為提供資訊,並不應視為對上述報告內提及的任何產品買賣或交易之專業推介、建議、邀請或要約。本公司及其附屬公司、僱員及其家屬及有關人士可於任何時間持有、買賣或以市場認可之方式,包括以代理人或當事人對本報告內提及的任何產品進行投資或買賣。投資附帶風險,投資者需注意投資項目之價值可升亦可跌,而過往之表現亦不一定反映未來之表現。投資者進行投資前請尋求獨立之投資意見。本公司在法律上均不負責任何人因使用本報告內資料而蒙受的任何直接或間接損失。本公司擁有此報告內容之版權,在未獲本公司許可前,不得翻印、分發或發行本報告以作任何用途。

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