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每月動向

2023年4月基金投資動向

2023年04月04日

美聯署利率上調至16年新高

消費價格指數升幅將成後市走向關鍵

3月份出現歐美銀行倒閉危機,市場資金流動性一度拉緊,投資者憂慮銀行倒閉風潮蔓延,引致骨牌效應的信貸違約。美國矽谷銀行(SVB)及瑞士信貸(CS)陷入困境,兩項消息均使銀行業股價下跌,然而,兩間銀行陷入困境的原因則大相徑庭。SVB將大部份存款投資在美國國庫債券及其他主權債券之上,但隨著美聯儲大幅加息,這類證券的價格出現下調,加上利率上升引致收緊了企業融資環境,企業客户從SVB提取存款,致銀行需低價沽岀相關證券而令資金流動性出現問題,在信心不足情況下出現擠提。CS過去兩年經營一直受不利消息影響,股價輾轉下跌,市場分析認為是「風險管理失敗」引致。該行於去年發佈的重整計劃,亦被市場認為欠缺積極,再加上計劃籌集所帶來的股價壓力,導致CS大量存款外流。

美聯儲3 月份將聯邦基金利率目標區間上調25個基點到4.75%至5%之間,利率升至2007年9月以來最高水平。是次加息只加25 個基點,較2月份時市場估計的50個基點為低,其中原因是防止銀行倒閉危機進一步惡化。SVB倒閉衝擊了全球市場,而事件亦可能改變了加息路徑。美國政府債券價格飆升,孶息率下跌,一旦美聯儲暫緩加息或甚至以減息支持銀行流動性,有利具投資評級類別的債券基金。此外,3月14 日公佈的美國居民消費價格指數(CPI)按年升幅為符合市場預期之6.0%,若CPI按年升幅能夠進一步收窄,則年内的加息幅度或有收窄空間,股市價格短期或會反彈。

阿里巴巴(9988)於3月28日公佈業務重組方案,市場反應正面,翌日香港股市上升,且港股成交量增加。市場分析或有更多中概公司仿效阿里巴巴重組業務,或能帶動IPO業務以及令港股成交上升。另外,早前内地下調金融機構存款準備金率,保持流動性充裕,亦有助股市發展。

投資者透過基金組合投資,由專業投資經理管理,投資組合可以分佈在不同地區、資產、行業、公司等,有助分散風險。客戶如欲查詢有關基金資訊,歡迎致電致富理財熱線: 2500 9188 聯絡我們。

致富有提供債券、基金一站式投資策略,供客戶選擇。想知道和瞭解更多,請即刻 按此 聯絡我們投資策略專員解答疑難。

WhatsApp : 投資策略專員

更多基金資訊、種類 和 比較:

連結

投資涉及風險,以上建議只作為參考之用。致富在法律上均不負責任何人因使用本報告內資料而蒙受的任何直接或間接損失。以上報告由致富集團研究部的分析員(“此等人士”)所撰寫,此等人士均為香港證監會持牌人士。此外,截至本報告發表當日,此等人士均未於本報告中所推介的股份存有權益。



免責聲明
上述報告由致富證券有限公司(「本公司」)所提供,所載之內容或意見乃根據本公司認為可靠之資料來源來編製,惟本公司並不就此等內容之準確性、完整性及正確性作出明示或默示之保證。上述報告內之所有意見均可在不作另行通知之下作出更改。上述報告的作用純粹為提供資訊,並不應視為對上述報告內提及的任何產品買賣或交易之專業推介、建議、邀請或要約。本公司及其附屬公司、僱員及其家屬及有關人士可於任何時間持有、買賣或以市場認可之方式,包括以代理人或當事人對本報告內提及的任何產品進行投資或買賣。投資附帶風險,投資者需注意投資項目之價值可升亦可跌,而過往之表現亦不一定反映未來之表現。投資者進行投資前請尋求獨立之投資意見。本公司在法律上均不負責任何人因使用本報告內資料而蒙受的任何直接或間接損失。本公司擁有此報告內容之版權,在未獲本公司許可前,不得翻印、分發或發行本報告以作任何用途。

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