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每月動向

2023年6月基金投資動向

2023年05月31日

美國達成債務上限原則性協議,但投資者擔憂主權評級可能被調低

亞洲市場的基本面相對穩健,投資者可關注消費、醫療、電動車及軟件等行業

日前美國總統拜登與國會眾議院議長麥卡錫達成的原則性協議,旨在解決美國債務上限問題。然而,部份投資者擔心兩者進一步談判的過程之中,仍可能會出現阻滯。此外,投資者亦憂慮美國主權評級可能被調低,導致環球股市大幅波動,因此多數投資者採取觀望態度。

美國債務上限及通脹問題仍未明朗,投資者不妨留意亞洲投資級債券基金。市場預測美國加息週期即將結束,通脹壓力雖有所回落,但仍可能長期困擾經濟。歐美經濟前景未明,金融業的不確定性亦大,而亞洲市場的基本面相對穩健,通脹壓力較低,故雖然亞洲投資級債券基金的預期回報未必最高,但風險較低,在目前複雜的環境下不失為一個良好的取捨。

市場最近另一焦點,是有關中國會否出現通縮。人民銀行在5月15日公佈的貨幣政策執行季度報告中提及,當前中國沒有出現通縮,並預計經濟增長將在第二季度大幅反彈。然而,人民銀行也承認,由於有效需求不足,二季度CPI漲幅可能繼續保持低位。疫情仍然對中國經濟產生影響,消費復甦動能的可持續性面臨挑戰,政府投資撬動社會投資仍存制約,全球經濟增長放緩或令外需持續受壓。

板塊方面,中長期可看好亞洲區內消費、醫療、電動車及軟件等行業,短期則可加入公用行業及不動產投資信託(REITs)以減低風險。國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)預計全球經濟增長放緩,但亞洲新興市場和中國經濟體有擴大趨勢,中國經濟增速可提升至5.2%。若美國聯邦儲備委員會(Fed)暫停加息,亞洲市場亦將受惠。

日本股市方面,近年來一直受到本國通縮的困擾,但近半年已見通縮逐漸消退,取而代之的是通脹。近期日本的經濟數據表現正面,零售市道回復生氣,加上漸見走出通縮之路,市場預期日本股市升勢有望持續下去。上月,日經平均指數升穿3萬點,並創近33年新高。

投資者透過基金組合投資,由專業投資經理管理,投資組合可以分佈在不同地區、資產、行業、公司等,有助分散風險。客戶如欲查詢有關基金資訊,歡迎致電致富理財熱線: 2500 9188 聯絡我們。

致富有提供債券、基金一站式投資策略,供客戶選擇。想知道和瞭解更多,請即刻 按此 聯絡我們投資策略專員解答疑難。

WhatsApp : 投資策略專員

更多基金資訊、種類 和 比較:

連結

投資涉及風險,以上建議只作為參考之用。致富在法律上均不負責任何人因使用本報告內資料而蒙受的任何直接或間接損失。以上報告由致富集團研究部的分析員(“此等人士”)所撰寫,此等人士均為香港證監會持牌人士。此外,截至本報告發表當日,此等人士均未於本報告中所推介的股份存有權益。



免責聲明
上述報告由致富證券有限公司(「本公司」)所提供,所載之內容或意見乃根據本公司認為可靠之資料來源來編製,惟本公司並不就此等內容之準確性、完整性及正確性作出明示或默示之保證。上述報告內之所有意見均可在不作另行通知之下作出更改。上述報告的作用純粹為提供資訊,並不應視為對上述報告內提及的任何產品買賣或交易之專業推介、建議、邀請或要約。本公司及其附屬公司、僱員及其家屬及有關人士可於任何時間持有、買賣或以市場認可之方式,包括以代理人或當事人對本報告內提及的任何產品進行投資或買賣。投資附帶風險,投資者需注意投資項目之價值可升亦可跌,而過往之表現亦不一定反映未來之表現。投資者進行投資前請尋求獨立之投資意見。本公司在法律上均不負責任何人因使用本報告內資料而蒙受的任何直接或間接損失。本公司擁有此報告內容之版權,在未獲本公司許可前,不得翻印、分發或發行本報告以作任何用途。

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